Articles and analysis

AI logoThe Curator asked about Naval Infantry: Recruitment, Attrition, in the Far East as a resukt of Ukraine War (for similar study see Mind the Gap series and associated papers about the Northern Fleet)
Key finding: Both Pacific Fleet naval infantry brigades have been effectively destroyed and reconstituted multiple times since 2022. They recruit primarily from Russia's Far Eastern federal subjects — Primorsky Krai, Kamchatka, Khabarovsk Krai — meaning the human cost of the Ukraine war falls disproportionately on Russia's most geographically isolated and politically marginal communities. The reconstitution of these formations as divisions is an organisational aspiration rather than a current military reality.

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AI logoCurator asked about the Sea of Okhotsk Bastion - Concept and Reality (echoing similar for Barents Bastion and Northern Fleet)


Key finding: The Sea of Okhotsk bastion is Russia's primary mechanism for preserving its Pacific second-strike nuclear deterrent. It is a layered concept — not a single defensive line — encompassing coastal missile systems, island chain fortification, submarine patrol areas, and aviation coverage. Japan's expanding ASW capability and the AUKUS nuclear submarine programme are the two developments most likely to complicate it over the next decade.

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The Curator asked about Okean 2024: Show of Force or Strategic Signal?

Key finding: Okean 2024 was the largest Russian naval exercise since the Soviet collapse, reviving a Cold War format after a 39-year gap. The political message — to NATO, to China, and to Russian domestic audiences — outweighed its military substance. Its most significant deficit was the conspicuous absence of any tactical reflection of the drone and naval warfare lessons from the Black Sea.

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